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America may still be the world’s only superpower, but it has lost the capacity to manage the challenges of an emerging challenge. Chinese.

he says so Michael PillsburyThe Mandarin-speaking former senior US official is known for drawing attention to controversial – often forward-thinking – views on the future of the United States.Chinese competition.

Mr. PillsburyA prolific writer and analyst who has advised in some capacity to every president since Nixon, says the United States and Chinese they are so intertwined economically that the possibility of a major conflict remains low.

But the US administrations of both sides have so far failed to face reality. Beijingthirst for power and global influence. That was the main message, Mr. Pillsbury delivered At “The Washington Brief,” a virtual panel event hosted by The Washington Times Foundation on Wednesday.

“Do we have the capacity to govern as a country, as a government? Chinese no more?” Mr. Pillsbury Asked during the event broadcasting Online Tuesday.

“I claim we didn’t” he Claiming that Washington is now consumed by a “crippling” debate, Chinese policy and to the extent that the Chinese government wishes to challenge or surpass America on the global stage.

As a result, Mr. Pillsbury He said Washington limited himself to doing “pinholes” aimed at restraint. Chinese, most recently with the Biden administration’s decision to hold a “diplomatic boycott” of the upcoming Winter Olympics Beijing protest against Chinesehuman rights record.

The US also gives “virtue signals” in such matters. Chineseits harsh policies towards ethnic Uighurs and other ethnic and religious minorities, he said. However, when it comes to comprehensive policy that may change Beijingbehavior has a lot of economic ties to the United States. Chinese really risking the act of confrontation.

Conclusion: Think tanks, Chinese scientists and advocacy groups produce hundreds of proposals to shape Beijing‘s behavior and “virtually none of it passed Congress,” he said. Pillsbury said.

“The Republican Task Force of the House of Representatives in China has produced a lengthy report of 400 recommendations, many of which seek reports from the executive branch.” he said. “NS [congressionally chartered U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission] every year [puts forward] About 50 proposals, most of them not acting on their own account.”

“My thesis [is] that we self-paralyzed in Washington” he said. “Maybe I’m wrong. Maybe we can take stronger steps, maybe we’ll get an idea of ​​what needs to be done to manage. Chinesetheir ambition. Maybe we’ll develop a consensus on what it is. Chinese‘They have ambitions.”

“But I’m pretty pessimistic,” said Mr. Pillsbury While Washington was seized by a “confusion”, a group of “nationalist hawks” claimed to be gaining power under the increasingly powerful and assertive Chinese President Xi Jinping.

He added that Chinese hawks believe America’s fall is much faster than most Americans think.

Mr. Pillsbury He is director of China strategy at the Hudson Institute in Washington. Her 2015 book “The Hundred Years Marathon: Chinese‘The Secret Strategy to Replace America as a Global Superpower’ was one of the best-selling books.

At the panel on Tuesday, he He described himself as a former “panda swagger” who spent his early childhood years. her challenging career for engagement Chinese and even advocates arms sales and intelligence sharing Beijing.

Discussions took place in the panel BeijingTrump-era trade frictions, as well as China’s aggression against Taiwan, and last year’s trade deal aimed at opening Chinese markets to more American companies, especially in the financial sector.

Joseph R. DeTrani, a former CIA official and longtime diplomatic adviser on US policy in Asia, Mr. Pillsbury became very pessimistic with her a USA-Chinese The struggle for supremacy is inevitable.

“Why can’t there be peaceful coexistence?” He asked Mr. DeTrani, who drew attention to the depths of the United States.Chinese including more than $600 billion in annual trade between the two. “Why not elements of disagreement and discussion when there are still elements of cooperation?”

Mr. Pillsbury “Your simplest short answer is, Beijing at the top.”

At the same time, Mr. Pillsbury Relations between the USA and the USA Chinese far from melting. “We have a long way” he “From a Cold War or some kind of crisis in the United States-Chinese Relationships for me.”