[ad_1]
The waters in the Atlantic Ocean were mostly calm. There hasn’t been widespread panic to buy plywood, sandbags, or generators for weeks. National Hurricane Center Twitter account It has not shared an active storm message for the Atlantic since Oct. 9, and there have been no warnings or threats along the Gulf Coast and East Coast since.
Hurricane season kicking in early?
“No. National Hurricane Center spokesman and meteorologist Dennis Feltgen said on Thursday that hurricane season does not officially end until November 30.
In May, scientists made a prediction: “above normal” Atlantic hurricane season, with 13 to 20 named storms. National Weather Service then updated this prediction 15 to 21 storms, including seven to 10 hurricanes. Following the record-breaking 2020 season, When there are 30 named stormsIncluding 13 tornadoes.
But as of Friday, only 20 named storms have come and gone, leaving only Wanda on a roster created by weather officials. It was the last great hurricane SamA storm that formed in late September and became a Category 4 storm as it crossed the Atlantic. It never posed a serious threat to land and dissipated after about two weeks. The last storm named was Victor, a tropical storm. left on October 4 After crossing the eastern Atlantic. It has been relatively quiet since then.
“The most popular areas for development in October are the Gulf of Mexico and the northwest Caribbean Sea,” said Mr Feltgen. “The water temperatures there are warm enough to support a tropical cyclone, but there is a lot of wind shear in the area. Nothing could move forward, let alone sustain. That’s a good thing!”
Mr Feltgen said forecasts showed the calm streak could continue for at least the next week or two, but noted recent activity in the Pacific Ocean, including Hurricanes. pamela and Rick, who both hit western Mexico this month.
Philip Klotzbach, a meteorologist at Colorado State University, said on Twitter No named storm activity has been seen in the Atlantic only twice since 1995, between October 6 and 26 in 2006 and 2007.
A series of storms hit the battered areas of North America over the summer:
The links between hurricanes and climate change have become clearer with each passing year. The data show that hurricanes have become stronger around the world during the last forty years. A warming planet can expect stronger hurricanes and a higher incidence of the strongest storms over time – but the overall storm count may decrease, as factors such as stronger wind shear can prevent weaker storms from forming.
Hurricanes also get wetter due to more water vapor in the warmer atmosphere; scientists have suggested storms like Hurricane Harvey in 2017 produced far more rain than it would have had without human effects on the climate. Also, rising sea levels are contributing to higher storm surge, the most destructive element of tropical cyclones.
“Looking ahead, we have to go by the end of November, and usually we can see something coming up in November, so we’re not opening the season yet,” said Mr Feltgen.
Storms that develop late in the season can be equally unpredictable, and November storms have been known to hit both the Gulf and East Coasts.
Mr Feltgen warned residents not to get into a false sense of security due to the recent lack of storm activity.
“Be careful, check in once in a while and see what’s going on in the tropics,” he said. “Don’t raid your hurricane supplies just yet.”
[ad_2]
Source link